But it would seem that’s not the case as it stands. Of course, even if any or all of the above scenarios play out as described, all the opportunity in the world wouldn’t necessarily make Hardman an instant fantasy superstar if he doesn’t have the talent to exploit said opportunity. Beyond his short-term opportunity for production though, Hardman also has WR1 potential long-term if he can develop into a better route-runner and complete receiver. According to Dynasty Trade Calculator, Hardman is valued far below other young wide receiver prospects like Brown, Metcalf, and Gallup. Every piece of the Kansas City offense has fantasy value. This would have made him a nice mid-level WR2 in the 2019 season. The Chiefs want to sling it with Mahomes. Hill was primarily a running back in college and has been learning the receiver position as a pro, while Hardman was a two-year starter at receiver for Georgia and needs to work on his route-running. Hardman still provides value as a WR4/WR5, but managers should expect a rollercoaster ride with the second year receiver. The low usage rate makes sense given the Chiefs’ preeminent receiving corps, with Pro-Bowl talents Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill dominating the majority of Patrick Mahomes‘s targets. Stats powered by. He is 5’10” 187 pounds and was a second-round pick in the 2019 draft. With Patrick Mahomes at QB and Andy Reid as the Head Coach, there could not be a better combination. Related: Mecole Hardman Defenses cannot guard both of them. But that cap would be nowhere near what he would get without Watkins. The Chiefs have two Tyreek Hill’s now, which when you think about it, is simply not fair. But even then, there was risk in acquiring Watkins in dynasty formats due to injury concerns. Hardman, just 22 years old, had 26 catches on 41 targets for 538 yards (20.7 yards per catch) and six touchdowns in 16 games (five starts) for the Super Bowl champion Chiefs last year. There are more vacated targets left from Kareem Hunt, but I would expect most of those to go to Damien Williams. Some players disappeared in Week 5 while others emerged as fantasy producers, find who is trending in the latest stock report by @NateNFL! But this is exactly why there may be a slight discount to buy Hardman right now. After a healthy rookie season in 2014, Watkins has missed 18 regular season games in the last four years and has played at less than full health in an additional number of games for which he was active over this span. The elephant in the room is that Hardman is fast. Hardman has found the end zone six times in 14 games this season, but a lack of volume of late has limited him to a hit-or-miss TD-dependent fantasy option. The problem for fantasy managers is that Chiefs offense is so talented that Hardman will be a shaky weekly play. So while Hardman’s rookie usage isn’t particularly encouraging, Kansas City’s wide receiver depth chart will likely look very different come next season, as they will probably part ways with Watkins this offseason. Even projecting for just a very slight decline in speed and effectiveness, Kelce is unlikely to continue averaging a dominant 12.9 yards per reception, as he has thus far in his career. His boom-or-bust nature makes him a volatile season-long option, but gives him upside DFS appeal for those fantasy managers intrigued by Mondays two-game slate. Let’s say Hill misses time. Last season, the Chiefs’ top five receivers in Kelce, Hill, Watkins, Robinson, and Hardman together averaged a 65 percent catch rate, 14.1 YPR, and a nine percent scoring rate. The problem for fantasy managers is that Chiefs offense is so talented that Hardman will be a shaky weekly play. And in much of the same way that Kansas City uses Hill on screen passes, trick plays, and even as a ball carrier, Hardman is likewise versatile behind the line of scrimmage, prominently shown on his score on a jet sweep against the Packers in Week 8. He also returned two kicks for 117 yards and a touchdown and three punts for 21 yards. You can expect his snap share to climb right around that 80-90% range depending on personnel. Chiefs' Mecole Hardman: Long touchdown versus Ravens 15D ago • Hardman caught four of six targets for 81 yards and a touchdown in Monday night's 34-20 win over the Ravens. While he wasn’t expected to be drafted as highly as he was, the fact that a team was willing to invest a second-round pick in him, and to trade up for the privilege, bodes well for his potential. This quick projection would a stat line of 64/1040/8 good for 216 full-PPR points. The Chiefs were already looking to remove some of the return burden from Hill’s shoulders so he could focus more on offense, so a simple return specialist and sub-package offensive weapon seems like the floor for Hardman’s potential. Chiefs GM Brett Veach will need to weigh what level of risk the organization is willing to accept to retain a difference-maker for the offense like Hill. The speed, small frame, dynamic agility, and the ability to beat you over the top. Although it didn't show up in the box score, Hardman's role on offense expanded from 17 percent snap share the previous week (a 51-31 win over Houston) to 40 percent share in Sunday's win over Tennessee. @dynastydadmike has your Week 6 solutions to crush the competition. Looking back, Hill’s murky playing status last spring may have been a blessing in disguise for Mahomes, as the Chiefs ended up adding Hardman to a receiving corps already full of talent. Mecole Hardman's fantasy value will depend heavily on Tyreek Hill's playing status. As outlined above, there are a number of scenarios that would open up a large amount of targets for other players. Hardman had a 30-yard reception on his lone target during Sunday's 31-21 win over the Chargers. An every-year favorite of subscribers, John Hansen goes team by team, condensing his overall opinion of relevant playmakers. Analysis: Hardman recorded a 37-yard reception for the majority of his production from scrimmage, and he failed to score a touchdown for the first time in three games. If Sammy Watkins is, for some reason, wearing a Chiefs jersey in week 1 of the 2020 season the fantasy world will be sad. Hardman needs the opportunity because he screams talent all over the field. Kansas City Chiefs special teams coordinator Dave Toub said the team is expecting a lot of good things from second-year wide receiver/return man Mecole Hardman this year. Pure speed is a physical talent and simply can’t be taught. Tired of Zach Ertz under performing? Join the 5000+ members that rely on our Insight, Rankings, Film Room and Tools to WIN, #Nerdherd Pennant - American Apparel 3/4 sleeve raglan shirt, #Nerdherd Members Only | Unisex Fleece Hoodie, Flexy and I Know It: Flex Start/Sit Week 6, 12 Formation – Week 6 Tight End Start/Sits. Regardless of the specifics, the fact of the matter is that Kansas City will probably go into the 2020 season without Watkins on the roster. Accordingly, Demarcus Robinson dipped from 58 percent to 37 percent, catching two passes for 31 yards in the process. Brown is the top receiver in Tennessee and performed admirably last year, and though the Titans have a run-heavy offense, there’s a legitimate argument for Brown to be valued over Hardman. A player with a fairly safe floor as a fantasy WR3 or flex who also has a fantasy ceiling as a WR2 or higher should merit at least a first-round rookie pick valuation. But regression will inevitably come along with expanded target share, both in YPR as well as scoring rate. With the sudden news of no suspension for Hill, now is the perfect time to approach disappointed dynasty GMs holding Hardman on their rosters. Behind Kelce and Hill, there simply weren’t enough remaining targets to be split among these three receivers to allow for consistent fantasy production. As of this moment, what we do know is that the NFL has cleared Hill to play in 2019 with no suspension. We don’t know for sure, and we may never know for sure, what did or did not happen with Tyreek Hill and his son. Hardman has caught multiple passes in just one game since Week 8, but boasts an unreal 20.7 yards-per-reception average this season. If Sammy Watkins stays, Hardman will be someone with a ton of potential but forever capped as long by Watkins’s presence. Given all the mouths to feed in the Chiefs' high-flying offense, it's tough to project Hardman's weekly production, but the jet-heeled wideout can certainly make impact plays when called upon, as seen on Monday's short score. After that, all it will take is for one of the current top-three Chiefs receivers to miss time or depart from the team. Analysis: Hardman's 2019 rookie campaign started fairly strong, with the rookie notching a pair of touchdowns and logging heft snap counts through the first four weeks. Luckily, Andy Reid has had experience developing speedsters into more complete wide receivers. In Week 1 against a suspect Texans secondary, Hardman will a sleeper as a WR4/flex in deeper fantasy leagues. Andy Reid knows this and he will use him that way moving forward. Which is just under 10 yards per reception before you mix in his after the catch-ability.
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